Capital markets ended the second quarter 2006 with flat to negative returns over the period. The positive results over longer time periods continue to reflect strong economy overseas coupled with a weaker US dollar over the trailing 5 years.
MarketView Chart of the Week, posted June 30, 2006
This week, we want to remind you of the long-term benefit of your tax-deferred investment accounts. Simply put, tax-deferred accounts leave more money available for compounding.
MarketView Chart of the Week, posted June 23, 2006
Because money market funds invest mostly in short-term fixed income securities, their returns benefit from Fed interest rate hikes. As the return has become more attractive, cash has started to flow back to money market funds.
MarketView Chart of the Week, posted June 16, 2006
This graph shows how often calendar year returns of the S&P 500 index fall into different return ranges during the 80 year history. But the graph again illustrates our long advocated belief that investors are rewarded through long-term investment.
The Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio is one of the most widely watched measures of valuation for both the stock market as a whole, and individual stocks. The P/E ratio of the S&P 500 is near 17 and is at a ten-year low after the recent market decline.
Increasing the amount you contribute to your retirement account is a proactive way to progress toward your retirement goals. Thanks to compounding, even raising your contribution by as little as two percent can make a significant difference over time.
Last year, the US dollar rallied, particularly towards year end, but the pattern has since reversed. Several causes for this have been cited: the Group of Seven leading industrial countries recently expressed concern about global imbalances, including the U.S. trade deficit; also, some analysts feel the Fed will stop its string of interest rate hikes.
In 2004, copper prices began to rise and are now at more than double their 2004 level. With copper inventories still falling, prices may not rise much further, as copper users turn to less expensive substitute materials.
MarketView Chart of the Week, posted April 28, 2006
Historically, the higher the quality of a company, as rated by Standard & Poor’s, the higher the return. However, over the last three years, this pattern has reversed as investors have been eager to buy lower quality stocks.
MarketView Chart of the Week, posted April 21, 2006
In the past, supply and demand forces were the best predictors of price; prices have gone up when supply has gone down. However oil markets are becoming more complex, and since 2004, this relationship is not holding true.
MarketView Chart of the Week, posted April 13, 2006
The assets in life-cycle funds and the number of fund offerings has increased significantly since 2002 — so much so that in March, Morningstar introduced three new categories for these funds to separate them from other types of asset allocation funds: Target Date 2000-2014, Target Date 2015-2029, and Target Date 2030+
MarketView Chart of the Week, posted April 7, 2006
Emerging markets have had significantly positive returns recently and four emerging markets, the "BRICs", Brazil, Russia, India, and China, exemplify this.
MarketView Chart of the Week, posted March 3, 2006
In the global village, changes made by other nations' central bankers affect all the world’s players, including US investors. As Japan and other developed economies increase interest rates (earlier this week, the ECB raised the overnight borrowing target rate for the first time in many months), US debt instruments could become less attractive on a relative basis.
MarketView Chart of the Week, posted February 24, 2006
In theory, an investor would want to hold a portfolio of assets that are negatively correlated to reduce the risk of loss. Sadly, asset classes with perfect negative correlation only exist in theory—and correlations change over time.
MarketView Chart of the Week, posted February 17, 2006
At first glance, recently released housing start data appears very strong, reaching a level not seen in over thirty years and challenging the notion of a bubble in the housing market. Yet much of this rate of change is due to the weather over the past few months.
MarketView Chart of the Week, posted February 10, 2006
Yesterday, the U.S. Treasury auctioned a 30-Year Bond for the first time since August 2001. Since 2001, budget deficits as well as non-budgeted expenditures for disaster relief, military spending and Homeland Security, have accelerated the growth of overall public debt. But US public debt is lower than the average debt to GDP ratio carried by other developed nations.
MarketView Chart of the Week, posted February 3, 2006
Earlier this week, the S&P 500 closed January 31st up 2.6% for the month. But what this means for the year 2006 remains to be seen—the January Barometer hasn’t held true in three of the past five years.
MarketView Chart of the Week, posted January 27, 2006
If growth continues to perform as well as it did during the last three quarters of 2005, investment managers and individual investors may see growth funds make a strong return in 2006. Nevertheless, the age old mantra is to stay diversified; performance of asset classes is cyclical and rankings change every year.
MarketView Chart of the Week, posted January 20, 2006
Performance of the Large Growth fund peer category was not as affected by the performance of growth stocks as the Russell 1000 Growth index, and was able to outperform the Large Value Category for the year.