MarketView Chart of the Week, posted June 29, 2007
As the USD Continues to depreciate relative to the Euro and appreciate relative to the Yen, Euro-based investments will be worth more in U.S. dollars while Yen-based investments will be worth less.
MarketView Chart of the Week, posted June 22, 2007
Last week, 30-year fixed-rate mortgages as measured by Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey averaged 6.74%, up from 6.53% the prior week which was the highest the rates have been since July of last year.
New home sales experienced an unexpected jump of 16% in April. This followed a surprising jump in existing homes sales in February. However, the overall trend for home sales is down and analysts are continuing to monitor the housing market closely. The general consensus is that weakness in home sales will continue through the rest of the year as housing demand remains low.
Recently, there has been a great deal of speculation in the news about whether or not the Federal Reserve will increase the Fed Funds Rate in 2007. The Fed Funds Rate is a key interest rate which the US Central Bank (the Federal Reserve) uses as a tool to help implement monetary policy in the US. If the Fed believes that the economy is growing too quickly they may implement a tightening policy by raising interest rates, which makes borrowing more expensive and hopefully slows the pace of economic growth.
On Wednesday, the Standard & Poor's 500 Index, a widely accepted measure of the domestic equity market, closed above its record high of 1527.5 set in March 2000. The previous record was set on March 24, 2000 just before the dotcom bubble burst. After the dotcom bubble burst the S&P 500 lost nearly half its value bottoming out at 776.8 on October 9, 2002. However, analysts are not anticipating a repeat performance as corporate earnings growth remains healthy and global demand for US products stays strong.
The Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) Europe, Australasia, and the Far East (EAFE) Index is a representative benchmark used to measure the performance of the international stock market as a whole, in US dollar terms.
Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) are a type of US Treasury note or bond that are designed to help protect the bondholder from the effects of inflation.
MarketView Chart of the Week, posted April 13, 2007
The effect to taxes on investment earnings can be considerable. For example, if you were to assume and annual salary of $40,000, an annual contribution rate of 8%, an average annual return of 7%, and a 25% federal tax bracket over a 40 year period the ending balance in a tax deferred account would be 60% greater.
MarketView Chart of the Week, posted April 5, 2007
Capital markets finished the first quarter of 2007 with positive results. Bonds as measured by the Lehman Brothers Aggregate Bond Index rose 1.50% for the quarter and are up 6.59% for the trailing year. U.S. equities represented by the S&P 500 Index (larger capitalization stocks) and the Russell 3000 Index (broad stock market) also posted positive returns for both the quarter and 1-year periods. International equity markets represented by the MSCI EAFE Index made the largest gains over both periods, returning 4.15% for the quarter and 20.69% over the last year.
MarketView Chart of the Week, posted March 30, 2007
In a "normal" interest rate environment, short-term rates are lower than long-term rates as investors expect higher yields for having their money tied up for longer periods. Over the past year, however, shorter-term yields have been higher than longer-term yields. Historically, long periods of interest rate "inversion" have been correlated with an onset of economic weakness.
MarketView Chart of the Week, posted March 16, 2007
Retirement investors should remember to periodically check their asset allocations to make sure they are still close to their targets, and rebalance if necessary.
MarketView Chart of the Week, posted February 9, 2007
Investors should remember that even during retirement it is still important to keep a long-term focus in order to stay ahead of inflation and withdrawals.
MarketView Chart of the Week, posted January 26, 2007
The table of investment returns ranks key indices, representing asset classes, in order of performance (high to low) each year. Using this table, we can make several observations about the market.